Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin highs on September 25 stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 90s, with point predictions clustered near 96–98°F under persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances below 10%. These conditions limit daytime mixing and cloud cover that could otherwise suppress maxima, while unseasonably warm regional temperatures this week provide a warm baseline. Model consensus has held steady over the past 24–48 hours without signals of an approaching front or increased moisture that might alter outcomes. This scientific context aligns with market-implied odds, where the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins hold the bulk of probability as the most likely resolution range under current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 25. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 25. September?
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 20%
92-93°F 6%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
87°F oder weniger
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 27%
94-95°F 20%
92-93°F 6%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
87°F oder weniger
$9 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$18 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$18 Vol.
20%
96-97°F
$664 Vol.
51%
98-99°F
$431 Vol.
27%
100-101°F
$9 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$29 Vol.
1%
106°F oder höher
$69 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin highs on September 25 stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 90s, with point predictions clustered near 96–98°F under persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances below 10%. These conditions limit daytime mixing and cloud cover that could otherwise suppress maxima, while unseasonably warm regional temperatures this week provide a warm baseline. Model consensus has held steady over the past 24–48 hours without signals of an approaching front or increased moisture that might alter outcomes. This scientific context aligns with market-implied odds, where the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins hold the bulk of probability as the most likely resolution range under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,247Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin highs on September 25 stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 90s, with point predictions clustered near 96–98°F under persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances below 10%. These conditions limit daytime mixing and cloud cover that could otherwise suppress maxima, while unseasonably warm regional temperatures this week provide a warm baseline. Model consensus has held steady over the past 24–48 hours without signals of an approaching front or increased moisture that might alter outcomes. This scientific context aligns with market-implied odds, where the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins hold the bulk of probability as the most likely resolution range under current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,247Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show Austin highs on September 25 stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 90s, with point predictions clustered near 96–98°F under persistent high pressure, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances below 10%. These conditions limit daytime mixing and cloud cover that could otherwise suppress maxima, while unseasonably warm regional temperatures this week provide a warm baseline. Model consensus has held steady over the past 24–48 hours without signals of an approaching front or increased moisture that might alter outcomes. This scientific context aligns with market-implied odds, where the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins hold the bulk of probability as the most likely resolution range under current guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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