Recent model consensus and PAGASA observations indicate Manila's September 25 high will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms driven by the trough of Tropical Storm Surigae. High humidity near 70–80 % and light variable winds favor modest afternoon heating, while convective clouds and rain may cap peaks near the seasonal 32 °C average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because current guidance shows limited cooling from the distant cyclone and typical late-monsoon insolation, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Science Garden station. Updated forecasts this evening will refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 25. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 25. September?
33°C 57%
32°C 32%
34°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
32%
33°C
57%
34°C
12%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 32%
34°C 12%
31°C 2%
NEU
NEU
25. Sep. 2026
27°C oder darunter
$171 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$594 Vol.
1%
31°C
$675 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,231 Vol.
32%
33°C
$3,332 Vol.
57%
34°C
$896 Vol.
12%
35°C
$514 Vol.
1%
36°C
$15 Vol.
1%
37°C oder höher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and PAGASA observations indicate Manila's September 25 high will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms driven by the trough of Tropical Storm Surigae. High humidity near 70–80 % and light variable winds favor modest afternoon heating, while convective clouds and rain may cap peaks near the seasonal 32 °C average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because current guidance shows limited cooling from the distant cyclone and typical late-monsoon insolation, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Science Garden station. Updated forecasts this evening will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$7,943Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and PAGASA observations indicate Manila's September 25 high will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms driven by the trough of Tropical Storm Surigae. High humidity near 70–80 % and light variable winds favor modest afternoon heating, while convective clouds and rain may cap peaks near the seasonal 32 °C average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because current guidance shows limited cooling from the distant cyclone and typical late-monsoon insolation, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Science Garden station. Updated forecasts this evening will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,943Enddatum
25. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus and PAGASA observations indicate Manila's September 25 high will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms driven by the trough of Tropical Storm Surigae. High humidity near 70–80 % and light variable winds favor modest afternoon heating, while convective clouds and rain may cap peaks near the seasonal 32 °C average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33 °C because current guidance shows limited cooling from the distant cyclone and typical late-monsoon insolation, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Science Garden station. Updated forecasts this evening will refine the exact threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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