**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Ankara am 17. September?
18°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,325 Vol.
$40,325 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Ja
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
18°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,325 Vol.
$40,325 Vol.
17. Sep. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$223 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$213 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$825 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$3,864 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$11,475 Vol.
Ja
19°C
$5,910 Vol.
Nein
20°C
$4,165 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$4,567 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$5,565 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$2,068 Vol.
Nein
24°C oder höher
$1,449 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$40,325Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40,325Enddatum
17. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum in Ankara for September 17 amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and northerly flow have limited daytime heating, keeping observed and forecast peaks well below the typical mid-September average of roughly 26°C. Multiple model runs and station data align on a narrow temperature range, with the highest readings occurring midday before steady rain and falling temperatures in the afternoon and evening. This strong agreement across official forecasts underpins the near-certain market-implied probability for 18°C. A realistic shift could occur only if final verified observations from Ankara’s primary stations record a peak one degree higher or lower due to localized timing or measurement differences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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