**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election at 64%.** Recent polls from August and September consistently place him ahead in first-round scenarios with 35–43% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor) at 28–39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing in single digits. Ferraço’s position stems from strong government approval ratings around 76% and consistent advantages in second-round matchups against Pazolini (typically 45–49% to 35–38%). Pazolini’s 34.5% reflects his status as the clearest alternative but persistent polling deficit. Minor candidates and “other” options register negligible shares, aligning with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling figures. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRicardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,658 Vol.
$40,658 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
35%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 35%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,658 Vol.
$40,658 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,596 Vol.
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$14,180 Vol.
35%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election at 64%.** Recent polls from August and September consistently place him ahead in first-round scenarios with 35–43% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor) at 28–39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing in single digits. Ferraço’s position stems from strong government approval ratings around 76% and consistent advantages in second-round matchups against Pazolini (typically 45–49% to 35–38%). Pazolini’s 34.5% reflects his status as the clearest alternative but persistent polling deficit. Minor candidates and “other” options register negligible shares, aligning with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling figures. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volumen
$40,658Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election at 64%.** Recent polls from August and September consistently place him ahead in first-round scenarios with 35–43% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor) at 28–39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing in single digits. Ferraço’s position stems from strong government approval ratings around 76% and consistent advantages in second-round matchups against Pazolini (typically 45–49% to 35–38%). Pazolini’s 34.5% reflects his status as the clearest alternative but persistent polling deficit. Minor candidates and “other” options register negligible shares, aligning with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling figures. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$40,658Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader pricing for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial election at 64%.** Recent polls from August and September consistently place him ahead in first-round scenarios with 35–43% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos, former Vitória mayor) at 28–39%, with Helder Salomão (PT) and others trailing in single digits. Ferraço’s position stems from strong government approval ratings around 76% and consistent advantages in second-round matchups against Pazolini (typically 45–49% to 35–38%). Pazolini’s 34.5% reflects his status as the clearest alternative but persistent polling deficit. Minor candidates and “other” options register negligible shares, aligning with their low single-digit or sub-1% polling figures. The first round is scheduled for October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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