Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process or acute political crisis capable of concluding within the next ten days. Impeachment proceedings require House approval and a Senate trial that historically spans weeks or months, while invocation of the 25th Amendment demands consensus among senior officials and Cabinet members that has not materialized. No major legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments in recent weeks have altered this timeline, and scheduled events such as congressional sessions offer no immediate pathway to vacancy. The short window leaves little room for unforeseen health events, sudden resignation, or external shocks to shift the outcome before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
<1% Chance
$1,334,245 Vol.
$1,334,245 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
Ja
<1% Chance
$1,334,245 Vol.
$1,334,245 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process or acute political crisis capable of concluding within the next ten days. Impeachment proceedings require House approval and a Senate trial that historically spans weeks or months, while invocation of the 25th Amendment demands consensus among senior officials and Cabinet members that has not materialized. No major legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments in recent weeks have altered this timeline, and scheduled events such as congressional sessions offer no immediate pathway to vacancy. The short window leaves little room for unforeseen health events, sudden resignation, or external shocks to shift the outcome before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,334,245Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process or acute political crisis capable of concluding within the next ten days. Impeachment proceedings require House approval and a Senate trial that historically spans weeks or months, while invocation of the 25th Amendment demands consensus among senior officials and Cabinet members that has not materialized. No major legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments in recent weeks have altered this timeline, and scheduled events such as congressional sessions offer no immediate pathway to vacancy. The short window leaves little room for unforeseen health events, sudden resignation, or external shocks to shift the outcome before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,334,245Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will remain in office through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process or acute political crisis capable of concluding within the next ten days. Impeachment proceedings require House approval and a Senate trial that historically spans weeks or months, while invocation of the 25th Amendment demands consensus among senior officials and Cabinet members that has not materialized. No major legislative, judicial, or diplomatic developments in recent weeks have altered this timeline, and scheduled events such as congressional sessions offer no immediate pathway to vacancy. The short window leaves little room for unforeseen health events, sudden resignation, or external shocks to shift the outcome before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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