Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, his established fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million with substantial cash reserves, and broad agreement among forecasters rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters advanced from the June primary with a clear plurality in a top-two system, while Republican Steve Cohen, a political newcomer and former local journalist, trails significantly in resources and lacks comparable name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns of high incumbent re-election rates in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCA-50 Wahlsieger
CA-50 Wahlsieger
$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Scott Peters (D)
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
5%
$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Scott Peters (D)
$38,700 Vol.
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
$25,686 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, his established fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million with substantial cash reserves, and broad agreement among forecasters rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters advanced from the June primary with a clear plurality in a top-two system, while Republican Steve Cohen, a political newcomer and former local journalist, trails significantly in resources and lacks comparable name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns of high incumbent re-election rates in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$64,386Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, his established fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million with substantial cash reserves, and broad agreement among forecasters rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters advanced from the June primary with a clear plurality in a top-two system, while Republican Steve Cohen, a political newcomer and former local journalist, trails significantly in resources and lacks comparable name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns of high incumbent re-election rates in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$64,386Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, his established fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million with substantial cash reserves, and broad agreement among forecasters rating the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters advanced from the June primary with a clear plurality in a top-two system, while Republican Steve Cohen, a political newcomer and former local journalist, trails significantly in resources and lacks comparable name recognition. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns of high incumbent re-election rates in similarly partisan districts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, major health event, or sharp national partisan shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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