Incumbent Ann Wagner advanced through the Republican primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman secured his party's nomination in a close August 4 contest. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman's background as a military veteran has drawn attention to the general election matchup, yet significant fundraising gaps and the absence of major post-primary shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities aligned with historical patterns for incumbents in similar seats ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-02 Wahlsieger
MO-02 Wahlsieger
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
69%
Fred Wellman (D)
31%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
$5,614 Vol.
69%
Fred Wellman (D)
$4,924 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner advanced through the Republican primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman secured his party's nomination in a close August 4 contest. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman's background as a military veteran has drawn attention to the general election matchup, yet significant fundraising gaps and the absence of major post-primary shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities aligned with historical patterns for incumbents in similar seats ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,537Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner advanced through the Republican primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman secured his party's nomination in a close August 4 contest. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman's background as a military veteran has drawn attention to the general election matchup, yet significant fundraising gaps and the absence of major post-primary shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities aligned with historical patterns for incumbents in similar seats ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,537Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ann Wagner advanced through the Republican primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman secured his party's nomination in a close August 4 contest. The district's Republican tilt, reflected in prior election margins and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman's background as a military veteran has drawn attention to the general election matchup, yet significant fundraising gaps and the absence of major post-primary shifts in polling or endorsements have kept probabilities aligned with historical patterns for incumbents in similar seats ahead of the November 3 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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