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icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

icon for Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz
Welt·Brasilien

Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz

Renan Santos 53%

Augusto Cury 32.6%

Ronaldo Caiado 12%

Romeu Zema 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,283,207 Vol.

Renan Santos 53%

Augusto Cury 32.6%

Ronaldo Caiado 12%

Romeu Zema 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,283,207 Vol.

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$355,346 Vol.

53%

icon for Augusto Cury

Augusto Cury

$236,850 Vol.

33%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$140,093 Vol.

12%

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$65,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$80,301 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$56,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$16,773 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$15,847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$23,204 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$20,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$46,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$104,208 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$13,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$11,811 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$9,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$9,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$4,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$3,481 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$69,401 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,283,207
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$1,283,207
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird Flávio Bolsonaro in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 den zweiten Platz belegen?

69%
Ja
icon for Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

Wird Lula in der ersten Runde der brasilianischen Präsidentschaftswahl 2026 die meisten Stimmen erhalten?

69%
Ja
icon for Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

Wird Flavio Bolsonaro bei der nächsten Präsidentschaftswahl in Brasilien die meisten Stimmen im Bundesdistrikt erhalten?

91%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Renan Santos" mit 53%, gefolgt von „Augusto Cury" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 53¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.3 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 11, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 19 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" ist „Renan Santos" mit 53%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 53% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Augusto Cury" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Brasilianische Präsidentschaftswahl, erste Runde: 3. Platz" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.