Québec solidaire maintains several safe and likely ridings in Montreal, including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where its candidates hold strong local support and face limited competition under the current first-past-the-post system. Recent seat projections from models such as 338Canada place the party in a range of three to eleven seats, consistent with polling averages around 10 percent provincewide and its existing 11 MNAs. This positioning, combined with stable voter intentions in urban strongholds ahead of the October 5 election, underpins the high trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign swings in turnout or vote efficiency in competitive Montreal districts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though a complete loss of representation appears remote based on established patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড96% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 5, 2026
96% সম্ভাবনা
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire maintains several safe and likely ridings in Montreal, including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where its candidates hold strong local support and face limited competition under the current first-past-the-post system. Recent seat projections from models such as 338Canada place the party in a range of three to eleven seats, consistent with polling averages around 10 percent provincewide and its existing 11 MNAs. This positioning, combined with stable voter intentions in urban strongholds ahead of the October 5 election, underpins the high trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign swings in turnout or vote efficiency in competitive Montreal districts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though a complete loss of representation appears remote based on established patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
ভলিউম
$632শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Québec solidaire maintains several safe and likely ridings in Montreal, including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where its candidates hold strong local support and face limited competition under the current first-past-the-post system. Recent seat projections from models such as 338Canada place the party in a range of three to eleven seats, consistent with polling averages around 10 percent provincewide and its existing 11 MNAs. This positioning, combined with stable voter intentions in urban strongholds ahead of the October 5 election, underpins the high trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign swings in turnout or vote efficiency in competitive Montreal districts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though a complete loss of representation appears remote based on established patterns.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ভলিউম
$632শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Québec solidaire maintains several safe and likely ridings in Montreal, including Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques, where its candidates hold strong local support and face limited competition under the current first-past-the-post system. Recent seat projections from models such as 338Canada place the party in a range of three to eleven seats, consistent with polling averages around 10 percent provincewide and its existing 11 MNAs. This positioning, combined with stable voter intentions in urban strongholds ahead of the October 5 election, underpins the high trader consensus on at least one seat. Late-campaign swings in turnout or vote efficiency in competitive Montreal districts remain the primary variables that could narrow margins, though a complete loss of representation appears remote based on established patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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