Unity's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4, following unsuccessful merger talks with Blue and White and consistent polling below the 3.25% threshold, has driven trader consensus toward a negligible vote share. Founded weeks earlier by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative to Likud, the party cited weak public support for a unity government and inability to clear procedural or electoral hurdles. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, its absence from the ballot leaves no realistic path to measurable support. Late developments such as health events, scandals, or procedural reversals remain the only theoretical disruptors, though none appear imminent given the fixed timeline and institutional rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড<0.5% 96.5%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
97%
0.5-0.75%
1%
0.75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0.5% 96.5%
0.5-0.75% <1%
0.75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<0.5%
$596 Vol.
97%
0.5-0.75%
$162 Vol.
1%
0.75-1%
$109 Vol.
1%
1-2%
$112 Vol.
1%
2%+
$223 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4, following unsuccessful merger talks with Blue and White and consistent polling below the 3.25% threshold, has driven trader consensus toward a negligible vote share. Founded weeks earlier by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative to Likud, the party cited weak public support for a unity government and inability to clear procedural or electoral hurdles. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, its absence from the ballot leaves no realistic path to measurable support. Late developments such as health events, scandals, or procedural reversals remain the only theoretical disruptors, though none appear imminent given the fixed timeline and institutional rules.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,202শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Unity's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4, following unsuccessful merger talks with Blue and White and consistent polling below the 3.25% threshold, has driven trader consensus toward a negligible vote share. Founded weeks earlier by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative to Likud, the party cited weak public support for a unity government and inability to clear procedural or electoral hurdles. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, its absence from the ballot leaves no realistic path to measurable support. Late developments such as health events, scandals, or procedural reversals remain the only theoretical disruptors, though none appear imminent given the fixed timeline and institutional rules.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ভলিউম
$1,202শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Unity's withdrawal from the October 27 Knesset election on September 4, following unsuccessful merger talks with Blue and White and consistent polling below the 3.25% threshold, has driven trader consensus toward a negligible vote share. Founded weeks earlier by Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein as a right-wing alternative to Likud, the party cited weak public support for a unity government and inability to clear procedural or electoral hurdles. With candidate lists finalized and no mechanism for re-entry, its absence from the ballot leaves no realistic path to measurable support. Late developments such as health events, scandals, or procedural reversals remain the only theoretical disruptors, though none appear imminent given the fixed timeline and institutional rules.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা