Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places United Torah Judaism at 7–9 seats in most surveys, consistent with 5.8–7.5% vote shares and aligning with the market's tight contest between the 5–6% and 6–7% bands. Internal party adjustments, including leadership changes and last-minute factional arrangements within the Agudat Yisrael–Degel HaTorah alliance ahead of list submission, have introduced some uncertainty over turnout and cohesion among Ashkenazi Haredi voters. Broader dynamics include ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and competition with Shas for the ultra-Orthodox electorate, though recent surveys show limited movement in UTJ support. These factors sustain the narrow range in trader assessments of the party's final share.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড6-7% 37%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 8%
<5% 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
8%
5-6%
37%
6-7%
43%
7-8%
8%
8%+
2%
6-7% 37%
5-6% 33%
7-8% 8%
<5% 8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$334 Vol.
8%
5-6%
$324 Vol.
37%
6-7%
$224 Vol.
43%
7-8%
$174 Vol.
8%
8%+
$290 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places United Torah Judaism at 7–9 seats in most surveys, consistent with 5.8–7.5% vote shares and aligning with the market's tight contest between the 5–6% and 6–7% bands. Internal party adjustments, including leadership changes and last-minute factional arrangements within the Agudat Yisrael–Degel HaTorah alliance ahead of list submission, have introduced some uncertainty over turnout and cohesion among Ashkenazi Haredi voters. Broader dynamics include ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and competition with Shas for the ultra-Orthodox electorate, though recent surveys show limited movement in UTJ support. These factors sustain the narrow range in trader assessments of the party's final share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,346শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places United Torah Judaism at 7–9 seats in most surveys, consistent with 5.8–7.5% vote shares and aligning with the market's tight contest between the 5–6% and 6–7% bands. Internal party adjustments, including leadership changes and last-minute factional arrangements within the Agudat Yisrael–Degel HaTorah alliance ahead of list submission, have introduced some uncertainty over turnout and cohesion among Ashkenazi Haredi voters. Broader dynamics include ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and competition with Shas for the ultra-Orthodox electorate, though recent surveys show limited movement in UTJ support. These factors sustain the narrow range in trader assessments of the party's final share.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
ভলিউম
$1,346শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election places United Torah Judaism at 7–9 seats in most surveys, consistent with 5.8–7.5% vote shares and aligning with the market's tight contest between the 5–6% and 6–7% bands. Internal party adjustments, including leadership changes and last-minute factional arrangements within the Agudat Yisrael–Degel HaTorah alliance ahead of list submission, have introduced some uncertainty over turnout and cohesion among Ashkenazi Haredi voters. Broader dynamics include ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and competition with Shas for the ultra-Orthodox electorate, though recent surveys show limited movement in UTJ support. These factors sustain the narrow range in trader assessments of the party's final share.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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