Russia’s Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10 after a suit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and funding issues. The Central Election Commission had registered the list in late July, yet the ruling removed the only registered party openly campaigning on a pro-peace platform from nationwide proportional representation. Without a place on the ballot, Yabloko cannot receive the valid votes needed to reach the 5 percent threshold for seats. Traders therefore assign near-certain probability to the outcome. A successful last-minute appeal or procedural reversal remains theoretically possible before voting concludes on September 20, though the compressed timeline and prior court actions make such shifts highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
<1% সম্ভাবনা
$670,540 Vol.
$670,540 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<1% সম্ভাবনা
$670,540 Vol.
$670,540 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10 after a suit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and funding issues. The Central Election Commission had registered the list in late July, yet the ruling removed the only registered party openly campaigning on a pro-peace platform from nationwide proportional representation. Without a place on the ballot, Yabloko cannot receive the valid votes needed to reach the 5 percent threshold for seats. Traders therefore assign near-certain probability to the outcome. A successful last-minute appeal or procedural reversal remains theoretically possible before voting concludes on September 20, though the compressed timeline and prior court actions make such shifts highly improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$670,540শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10 after a suit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and funding issues. The Central Election Commission had registered the list in late July, yet the ruling removed the only registered party openly campaigning on a pro-peace platform from nationwide proportional representation. Without a place on the ballot, Yabloko cannot receive the valid votes needed to reach the 5 percent threshold for seats. Traders therefore assign near-certain probability to the outcome. A successful last-minute appeal or procedural reversal remains theoretically possible before voting concludes on September 20, though the compressed timeline and prior court actions make such shifts highly improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ভলিউম
$670,540শেষ তারিখ
Sep 20, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko’s federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10 after a suit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations and funding issues. The Central Election Commission had registered the list in late July, yet the ruling removed the only registered party openly campaigning on a pro-peace platform from nationwide proportional representation. Without a place on the ballot, Yabloko cannot receive the valid votes needed to reach the 5 percent threshold for seats. Traders therefore assign near-certain probability to the outcome. A successful last-minute appeal or procedural reversal remains theoretically possible before voting concludes on September 20, though the compressed timeline and prior court actions make such shifts highly improbable.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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