Eduardo Braide (PSD), former São Luís mayor, leads the Maranhão gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 24%. Multiple August and early September polls, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, showed Braide ahead by double digits in the first round, often near or above 44%, while second-round matchups against Brandão consistently favored him by wide margins. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from MDB infrastructure but faces a fragmented base after a split with PT allies backing Felipe Camarão. Recent September polling has fluctuated, with some IPSensus surveys showing Brandão narrowly ahead, yet Braide maintains broader name recognition and momentum through campaign events on infrastructure and sanitation. Other candidates remain marginal, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডEduardo Braide 77%
Orleans Brandão 24%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$78,421 Vol.
$78,421 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
77%
Orleans Brandão
24%
Felipe Camarão
1%
André Luís
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Eduardo Braide 77%
Orleans Brandão 24%
Felipe Camarão <1%
André Luís <1%
$78,421 Vol.
$78,421 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$40,783 Vol.
77%
Orleans Brandão
$17,096 Vol.
24%
Felipe Camarão
$5,567 Vol.
1%
André Luís
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
Lahesio Bonfim
$4,303 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$4,924 Vol.
<1%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), former São Luís mayor, leads the Maranhão gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 24%. Multiple August and early September polls, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, showed Braide ahead by double digits in the first round, often near or above 44%, while second-round matchups against Brandão consistently favored him by wide margins. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from MDB infrastructure but faces a fragmented base after a split with PT allies backing Felipe Camarão. Recent September polling has fluctuated, with some IPSensus surveys showing Brandão narrowly ahead, yet Braide maintains broader name recognition and momentum through campaign events on infrastructure and sanitation. Other candidates remain marginal, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
ভলিউম
$78,421শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide (PSD), former São Luís mayor, leads the Maranhão gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 24%. Multiple August and early September polls, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, showed Braide ahead by double digits in the first round, often near or above 44%, while second-round matchups against Brandão consistently favored him by wide margins. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from MDB infrastructure but faces a fragmented base after a split with PT allies backing Felipe Camarão. Recent September polling has fluctuated, with some IPSensus surveys showing Brandão narrowly ahead, yet Braide maintains broader name recognition and momentum through campaign events on infrastructure and sanitation. Other candidates remain marginal, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$78,421শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide (PSD), former São Luís mayor, leads the Maranhão gubernatorial race with strong trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability, ahead of Orleans Brandão (MDB) at 24%. Multiple August and early September polls, including Quaest and Real Time Big Data, showed Braide ahead by double digits in the first round, often near or above 44%, while second-round matchups against Brandão consistently favored him by wide margins. Brandão, nephew of incumbent governor Carlos Brandão, benefits from MDB infrastructure but faces a fragmented base after a split with PT allies backing Felipe Camarão. Recent September polling has fluctuated, with some IPSensus surveys showing Brandão narrowly ahead, yet Braide maintains broader name recognition and momentum through campaign events on infrastructure and sanitation. Other candidates remain marginal, reinforcing the two-way dynamic ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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