Recent polling from mid-September shows incumbent President Lula leading first-round vote intentions at 39-44%, ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos each in the low single digits. These surveys, including Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and BTG/Nexus, indicate a likely runoff on October 25 as no candidate approaches a majority. Lula's position benefits from established party machinery and voter base consolidation, while Bolsonaro draws support from right-wing voters but trails in most head-to-head simulations. Minor candidates remain fragmented, consistent with their low market pricing. The first-round outcome on October 4 will hinge on turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in undecided support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLula 70%
Flavio Bolsonaro 31%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Zema <1%
$168,457 Vol.
$168,457 Vol.
Lula
70%
Flavio Bolsonaro
31%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Lula 70%
Flavio Bolsonaro 31%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Zema <1%
$168,457 Vol.
$168,457 Vol.
Lula
70%
Flavio Bolsonaro
31%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-September shows incumbent President Lula leading first-round vote intentions at 39-44%, ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos each in the low single digits. These surveys, including Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and BTG/Nexus, indicate a likely runoff on October 25 as no candidate approaches a majority. Lula's position benefits from established party machinery and voter base consolidation, while Bolsonaro draws support from right-wing voters but trails in most head-to-head simulations. Minor candidates remain fragmented, consistent with their low market pricing. The first-round outcome on October 4 will hinge on turnout among swing voters and any late shifts in undecided support.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
ফ্লাভিও বোলসোনারো কি ২০২৬ ব্রাজিলিয়ান প্রেসিডেন্ট নির্বাচনের প্রথম দফায় দ্বিতীয় স্থানে শেষ করবেন?
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা