Trader consensus around a 2.3% chance of Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood by year-end reflects the absence of any formal legislative process, Venezuelan consent, or diplomatic framework. U.S. admission of new states requires congressional majorities under Article IV, while Venezuela’s constitution treats sovereignty as inalienable and bars territorial cession. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez explicitly rejected the notion in May 2026, citing national independence, after President Trump floated the concept in March and May following the January capture of Nicolás Maduro. No bills have advanced, no referendums scheduled, and bilateral cooperation has focused instead on oil-sector reforms and diplomatic normalization. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to improbable congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy reversal within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$394,585 交易量
$394,585 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 概率
$394,585 交易量
$394,585 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus around a 2.3% chance of Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood by year-end reflects the absence of any formal legislative process, Venezuelan consent, or diplomatic framework. U.S. admission of new states requires congressional majorities under Article IV, while Venezuela’s constitution treats sovereignty as inalienable and bars territorial cession. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez explicitly rejected the notion in May 2026, citing national independence, after President Trump floated the concept in March and May following the January capture of Nicolás Maduro. No bills have advanced, no referendums scheduled, and bilateral cooperation has focused instead on oil-sector reforms and diplomatic normalization. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to improbable congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy reversal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$394,585结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus around a 2.3% chance of Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood by year-end reflects the absence of any formal legislative process, Venezuelan consent, or diplomatic framework. U.S. admission of new states requires congressional majorities under Article IV, while Venezuela’s constitution treats sovereignty as inalienable and bars territorial cession. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez explicitly rejected the notion in May 2026, citing national independence, after President Trump floated the concept in March and May following the January capture of Nicolás Maduro. No bills have advanced, no referendums scheduled, and bilateral cooperation has focused instead on oil-sector reforms and diplomatic normalization. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to improbable congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy reversal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$394,585结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETTrader consensus around a 2.3% chance of Venezuela achieving U.S. statehood by year-end reflects the absence of any formal legislative process, Venezuelan consent, or diplomatic framework. U.S. admission of new states requires congressional majorities under Article IV, while Venezuela’s constitution treats sovereignty as inalienable and bars territorial cession. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez explicitly rejected the notion in May 2026, citing national independence, after President Trump floated the concept in March and May following the January capture of Nicolás Maduro. No bills have advanced, no referendums scheduled, and bilateral cooperation has focused instead on oil-sector reforms and diplomatic normalization. Late developments that could shift odds remain limited to improbable congressional action or a sudden Venezuelan policy reversal within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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