**Traders price “No” at 74.5% primarily because the Utah capital case against Tyler Robinson remains in its early procedural stages, making a formal homicide conviction by the likely December 31, 2026 resolution deadline improbable.** Robinson, charged with aggravated murder and related counts in the September 2025 shooting death of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University, was bound over for trial on September 1, 2026, after a multi-day preliminary hearing. He entered not-guilty pleas to all seven counts, including the capital charge that carries the possibility of the death penalty. The next scheduled hearing is October 23, 2026, for trial scheduling. Utah criminal procedure in high-profile death-penalty matters typically involves extensive pretrial motions, discovery, jury selection, and a lengthy trial, routinely extending well beyond a single calendar year from bindover. No developments since the September ruling have accelerated the timeline or altered the standard pace of proceedings. While prosecutors have described their evidence as substantial and the defense has focused on challenging probable cause rather than presenting alternative theories, the market reflects the consensus that the judicial calendar—not the ultimate strength of the case—determines the near-term outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
26% 概率
$438,294 交易量
$438,294 交易量
2027-07-31
是
26% 概率
$438,294 交易量
$438,294 交易量
2027-07-31
Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Traders price “No” at 74.5% primarily because the Utah capital case against Tyler Robinson remains in its early procedural stages, making a formal homicide conviction by the likely December 31, 2026 resolution deadline improbable.**
Robinson, charged with aggravated murder and related counts in the September 2025 shooting death of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University, was bound over for trial on September 1, 2026, after a multi-day preliminary hearing. He entered not-guilty pleas to all seven counts, including the capital charge that carries the possibility of the death penalty. The next scheduled hearing is October 23, 2026, for trial scheduling.
Utah criminal procedure in high-profile death-penalty matters typically involves extensive pretrial motions, discovery, jury selection, and a lengthy trial, routinely extending well beyond a single calendar year from bindover. No developments since the September ruling have accelerated the timeline or altered the standard pace of proceedings. While prosecutors have described their evidence as substantial and the defense has focused on challenging probable cause rather than presenting alternative theories, the market reflects the consensus that the judicial calendar—not the ultimate strength of the case—determines the near-term outcome.
Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
交易量
$438,294结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 8:27 PM ETTyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.**Traders price “No” at 74.5% primarily because the Utah capital case against Tyler Robinson remains in its early procedural stages, making a formal homicide conviction by the likely December 31, 2026 resolution deadline improbable.**
Robinson, charged with aggravated murder and related counts in the September 2025 shooting death of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University, was bound over for trial on September 1, 2026, after a multi-day preliminary hearing. He entered not-guilty pleas to all seven counts, including the capital charge that carries the possibility of the death penalty. The next scheduled hearing is October 23, 2026, for trial scheduling.
Utah criminal procedure in high-profile death-penalty matters typically involves extensive pretrial motions, discovery, jury selection, and a lengthy trial, routinely extending well beyond a single calendar year from bindover. No developments since the September ruling have accelerated the timeline or altered the standard pace of proceedings. While prosecutors have described their evidence as substantial and the defense has focused on challenging probable cause rather than presenting alternative theories, the market reflects the consensus that the judicial calendar—not the ultimate strength of the case—determines the near-term outcome.
Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$438,294结束日期
2027-08-01市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 8:27 PM ET**Traders price “No” at 74.5% primarily because the Utah capital case against Tyler Robinson remains in its early procedural stages, making a formal homicide conviction by the likely December 31, 2026 resolution deadline improbable.** Robinson, charged with aggravated murder and related counts in the September 2025 shooting death of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University, was bound over for trial on September 1, 2026, after a multi-day preliminary hearing. He entered not-guilty pleas to all seven counts, including the capital charge that carries the possibility of the death penalty. The next scheduled hearing is October 23, 2026, for trial scheduling. Utah criminal procedure in high-profile death-penalty matters typically involves extensive pretrial motions, discovery, jury selection, and a lengthy trial, routinely extending well beyond a single calendar year from bindover. No developments since the September ruling have accelerated the timeline or altered the standard pace of proceedings. While prosecutors have described their evidence as substantial and the defense has focused on challenging probable cause rather than presenting alternative theories, the market reflects the consensus that the judicial calendar—not the ultimate strength of the case—determines the near-term outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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