The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and extraction, rather than a sustained ground invasion or occupation, has shaped trader views on any full-scale military incursion. Subsequent U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, counternarcotics strikes, and cooperation with interim President Delcy Rodríguez on oil sector access and cartel designations have stabilized bilateral ties without triggering broader escalation. Diplomatic engagement, including potential embassy reopening and joint actions against groups like Tren de Aragua, alongside ongoing economic arrangements with U.S. firms, further signals de-escalation. Scheduled developments such as opposition talks and resource revenue negotiations could influence any remaining risk of expanded intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,196,881 交易量
2026-03-30
12月31日
3%
$14,196,881 交易量
12月31日
$240,872 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and extraction, rather than a sustained ground invasion or occupation, has shaped trader views on any full-scale military incursion. Subsequent U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, counternarcotics strikes, and cooperation with interim President Delcy Rodríguez on oil sector access and cartel designations have stabilized bilateral ties without triggering broader escalation. Diplomatic engagement, including potential embassy reopening and joint actions against groups like Tren de Aragua, alongside ongoing economic arrangements with U.S. firms, further signals de-escalation. Scheduled developments such as opposition talks and resource revenue negotiations could influence any remaining risk of expanded intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$14,196,881结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and extraction, rather than a sustained ground invasion or occupation, has shaped trader views on any full-scale military incursion. Subsequent U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, counternarcotics strikes, and cooperation with interim President Delcy Rodríguez on oil sector access and cartel designations have stabilized bilateral ties without triggering broader escalation. Diplomatic engagement, including potential embassy reopening and joint actions against groups like Tren de Aragua, alongside ongoing economic arrangements with U.S. firms, further signals de-escalation. Scheduled developments such as opposition talks and resource revenue negotiations could influence any remaining risk of expanded intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,196,881结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETThe January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Nicolás Maduro through targeted strikes and extraction, rather than a sustained ground invasion or occupation, has shaped trader views on any full-scale military incursion. Subsequent U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean, counternarcotics strikes, and cooperation with interim President Delcy Rodríguez on oil sector access and cartel designations have stabilized bilateral ties without triggering broader escalation. Diplomatic engagement, including potential embassy reopening and joint actions against groups like Tren de Aragua, alongside ongoing economic arrangements with U.S. firms, further signals de-escalation. Scheduled developments such as opposition talks and resource revenue negotiations could influence any remaining risk of expanded intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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