Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote after Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a term through 2028 absent resignation, incapacity, or death that would trigger a 50-day Guardian Council election under Article 131. Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and the Assembly of Experts’ selection of a successor, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional conflict rather than a new presidential ballot. Officials recently formed a working group to explore combining the next parliamentary vote with the presidential contest in 2028 without constitutional change, sending a related bill to parliament. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the lack of any announced early election date or vacancy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$767,426 交易量
12月31日
8%
$767,426 交易量
12月31日
8%
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian, elected in the 2024 snap vote after Ebrahim Raisi’s death, serves a term through 2028 absent resignation, incapacity, or death that would trigger a 50-day Guardian Council election under Article 131. Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s February 2026 assassination and the Assembly of Experts’ selection of a successor, attention has centered on leadership transition and regional conflict rather than a new presidential ballot. Officials recently formed a working group to explore combining the next parliamentary vote with the presidential contest in 2028 without constitutional change, sending a related bill to parliament. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the lack of any announced early election date or vacancy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题