Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Yemeni government troops withdrew during a rapid coastal offensive that also captured Mokha, Dhubab, and nearby islands including Zuqar. The move completed Houthi control over the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint dividing shipping channels between the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia responded with airstrikes on Houthi positions at Mokha, while broader U.S. involvement has remained limited to intelligence support amid the ongoing Iran-related conflict and disrupted Hormuz routes. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations despite Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory, with any reversal of control hinging on Saudi-backed counteroffensives, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the wider regional confrontation. No major scheduled events have been announced in the immediate resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
9月30日
5%
10月31日
15%
12月31日
30%
$8,844 交易量
9月30日
$1,730 交易量
5%
10月31日
$3,943 交易量
15%
12月31日
$3,171 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Yemeni government troops withdrew during a rapid coastal offensive that also captured Mokha, Dhubab, and nearby islands including Zuqar. The move completed Houthi control over the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint dividing shipping channels between the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia responded with airstrikes on Houthi positions at Mokha, while broader U.S. involvement has remained limited to intelligence support amid the ongoing Iran-related conflict and disrupted Hormuz routes. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations despite Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory, with any reversal of control hinging on Saudi-backed counteroffensives, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the wider regional confrontation. No major scheduled events have been announced in the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$8,844结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Yemeni government troops withdrew during a rapid coastal offensive that also captured Mokha, Dhubab, and nearby islands including Zuqar. The move completed Houthi control over the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint dividing shipping channels between the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia responded with airstrikes on Houthi positions at Mokha, while broader U.S. involvement has remained limited to intelligence support amid the ongoing Iran-related conflict and disrupted Hormuz routes. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations despite Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory, with any reversal of control hinging on Saudi-backed counteroffensives, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the wider regional confrontation. No major scheduled events have been announced in the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$8,844结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETHouthi forces seized Perim Island (Mayyun) on September 11, 2026, after Yemeni government troops withdrew during a rapid coastal offensive that also captured Mokha, Dhubab, and nearby islands including Zuqar. The move completed Houthi control over the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, a critical chokepoint dividing shipping channels between the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. Saudi Arabia responded with airstrikes on Houthi positions at Mokha, while broader U.S. involvement has remained limited to intelligence support amid the ongoing Iran-related conflict and disrupted Hormuz routes. Analysts note the island’s vulnerability to future amphibious operations despite Houthi consolidation of surrounding territory, with any reversal of control hinging on Saudi-backed counteroffensives, diplomatic pressure, or escalation in the wider regional confrontation. No major scheduled events have been announced in the immediate resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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