Musk's July 2025 announcement of the America Party following a feud with the Trump administration over spending legislation has not led to formal registration with the Federal Election Commission or state authorities. Subsequent reporting indicated plans stalled by August 2025 as Musk prioritized business interests and maintained ties to Republican figures, with no verified filings or ballot access efforts materializing. His America PAC has instead directed resources toward supporting GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms. These developments underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of any party registration occurring before 2027, absent new official steps or announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.Musk's July 2025 announcement of the America Party following a feud with the Trump administration over spending legislation has not led to formal registration with the Federal Election Commission or state authorities. Subsequent reporting indicated plans stalled by August 2025 as Musk prioritized business interests and maintained ties to Republican figures, with no verified filings or ballot access efforts materializing. His America PAC has instead directed resources toward supporting GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms. These developments underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of any party registration occurring before 2027, absent new official steps or announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ET
交易量
$6,952结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.Musk's July 2025 announcement of the America Party following a feud with the Trump administration over spending legislation has not led to formal registration with the Federal Election Commission or state authorities. Subsequent reporting indicated plans stalled by August 2025 as Musk prioritized business interests and maintained ties to Republican figures, with no verified filings or ballot access efforts materializing. His America PAC has instead directed resources toward supporting GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms. These developments underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of any party registration occurring before 2027, absent new official steps or announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
交易量
$6,952结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ETMusk's July 2025 announcement of the America Party following a feud with the Trump administration over spending legislation has not led to formal registration with the Federal Election Commission or state authorities. Subsequent reporting indicated plans stalled by August 2025 as Musk prioritized business interests and maintained ties to Republican figures, with no verified filings or ballot access efforts materializing. His America PAC has instead directed resources toward supporting GOP candidates in the 2026 midterms. These developments underpin trader consensus on the low likelihood of any party registration occurring before 2027, absent new official steps or announcements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题