Recent polling in the four key battlegrounds shows Democratic candidates holding narrow edges or competitive positions in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting trader consensus around a 58% chance of a sweep. Incumbent Jon Ossoff maintains an advantage in Georgia, while open-seat contests in Michigan and North Carolina remain toss-ups with recent surveys reflecting tight margins amid strong Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Susan Collins faces a credible challenge in Maine. With the November 3 election six weeks away, the market reflects the coordination required to prevail simultaneously in these closely contested races, where shifts in turnout among independents and suburban voters or late developments could alter outcomes in any single state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
58% 概率
$22,631 交易量
$22,631 交易量
2026-11-02
是
58% 概率
$22,631 交易量
$22,631 交易量
2026-11-02
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling in the four key battlegrounds shows Democratic candidates holding narrow edges or competitive positions in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting trader consensus around a 58% chance of a sweep. Incumbent Jon Ossoff maintains an advantage in Georgia, while open-seat contests in Michigan and North Carolina remain toss-ups with recent surveys reflecting tight margins amid strong Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Susan Collins faces a credible challenge in Maine. With the November 3 election six weeks away, the market reflects the coordination required to prevail simultaneously in these closely contested races, where shifts in turnout among independents and suburban voters or late developments could alter outcomes in any single state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
市场开放时间： Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$22,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Recent polling in the four key battlegrounds shows Democratic candidates holding narrow edges or competitive positions in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting trader consensus around a 58% chance of a sweep. Incumbent Jon Ossoff maintains an advantage in Georgia, while open-seat contests in Michigan and North Carolina remain toss-ups with recent surveys reflecting tight margins amid strong Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Susan Collins faces a credible challenge in Maine. With the November 3 election six weeks away, the market reflects the coordination required to prevail simultaneously in these closely contested races, where shifts in turnout among independents and suburban voters or late developments could alter outcomes in any single state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
交易量
$22,631结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETRecent polling in the four key battlegrounds shows Democratic candidates holding narrow edges or competitive positions in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine, supporting trader consensus around a 58% chance of a sweep. Incumbent Jon Ossoff maintains an advantage in Georgia, while open-seat contests in Michigan and North Carolina remain toss-ups with recent surveys reflecting tight margins amid strong Democratic recruitment and fundraising. Susan Collins faces a credible challenge in Maine. With the November 3 election six weeks away, the market reflects the coordination required to prevail simultaneously in these closely contested races, where shifts in turnout among independents and suburban voters or late developments could alter outcomes in any single state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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