President Trump’s recent pattern of direct public rebukes, including labeling a Bloomberg reporter “terrible” during an Oval Office exchange over media access restrictions and posting AI imagery mocking banned outlets, underscores the short-term drivers of this market. With the resolution window closing September 30 amid midterm pressures, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and ongoing Iran policy deliberations, traders weigh the likelihood of additional personal criticisms of figures such as former officials, state leaders, or journalists. Historical precedent shows Trump frequently directs pointed language at perceived opponents during periods of institutional pushback or diplomatic tension, while scheduled appearances like the UN General Assembly could provide further platforms for such statements. The market reflects crowd-sourced assessments of these immediate political dynamics rather than forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$137,960 交易量
2026-09-30
马克·卡尼
79%
塔克·卡尔森
72%
乔恩·奥索夫
70%
Zohran Mamdani
30%
凯西·霍楚尔
46%
亚历克斯·琼斯
46%
吉米·坎摩
48%
埃隆·马斯克
39%
弗里德里希·梅尔茨
27%
亚历桑德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
27%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
38%
安迪·伯纳姆
28%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
32%
埃马纽埃尔·马克龙
14%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔
11%
帕姆·邦迪
10%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
10%
诺拉·奥唐奈
8%
斯蒂芬·科尔伯特
28%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
6%
教皇利奥十四世
6%
凯文·沃什
6%
习近平
4%
弗拉基米尔·普京
3%
J.D.万斯
3%
卡罗琳·莱维特
2%
梅拉尼娅·特朗普
18%
梅根·凯利
40%
玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
54%
伊尔汉·奥马尔
56%
希拉里·克林顿
51%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
46%
亚当·希夫
43%
$137,960 交易量
马克·卡尼
$5,456 交易量
79%
塔克·卡尔森
$3,227 交易量
72%
乔恩·奥索夫
$123 交易量
70%
Zohran Mamdani
$2,510 交易量
30%
凯西·霍楚尔
$2,309 交易量
46%
亚历克斯·琼斯
$204 交易量
46%
吉米·坎摩
$923 交易量
48%
埃隆·马斯克
$170 交易量
39%
弗里德里希·梅尔茨
$2,496 交易量
27%
亚历桑德里娅·奥卡西奥-科尔特斯
$249 交易量
27%
莱蒂蒂娅·詹姆斯
$747 交易量
38%
安迪·伯纳姆
$3,715 交易量
28%
坎迪斯·欧文斯
$3,097 交易量
32%
埃马纽埃尔·马克龙
$4,523 交易量
14%
杰罗姆·鲍威尔
$2,136 交易量
11%
帕姆·邦迪
$263 交易量
10%
本雅明·内塔尼亚胡
$1,642 交易量
10%
诺拉·奥唐奈
$72 交易量
8%
斯蒂芬·科尔伯特
$321 交易量
28%
穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼
$440 交易量
6%
教皇利奥十四世
$1,386 交易量
6%
凯文·沃什
$77,433 交易量
6%
习近平
$2,189 交易量
4%
弗拉基米尔·普京
$2,778 交易量
3%
J.D.万斯
$1,542 交易量
3%
卡罗琳·莱维特
$300 交易量
2%
梅拉尼娅·特朗普
$101 交易量
18%
梅根·凯利
$407 交易量
40%
玛乔丽·泰勒·格林
$1,525 交易量
54%
伊尔汉·奥马尔
$419 交易量
56%
希拉里·克林顿
$1,985 交易量
51%
伊丽莎白·沃伦
$457 交易量
46%
亚当·希夫
$61 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s recent pattern of direct public rebukes, including labeling a Bloomberg reporter “terrible” during an Oval Office exchange over media access restrictions and posting AI imagery mocking banned outlets, underscores the short-term drivers of this market. With the resolution window closing September 30 amid midterm pressures, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and ongoing Iran policy deliberations, traders weigh the likelihood of additional personal criticisms of figures such as former officials, state leaders, or journalists. Historical precedent shows Trump frequently directs pointed language at perceived opponents during periods of institutional pushback or diplomatic tension, while scheduled appearances like the UN General Assembly could provide further platforms for such statements. The market reflects crowd-sourced assessments of these immediate political dynamics rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
交易量
$137,960结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s recent pattern of direct public rebukes, including labeling a Bloomberg reporter “terrible” during an Oval Office exchange over media access restrictions and posting AI imagery mocking banned outlets, underscores the short-term drivers of this market. With the resolution window closing September 30 amid midterm pressures, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and ongoing Iran policy deliberations, traders weigh the likelihood of additional personal criticisms of figures such as former officials, state leaders, or journalists. Historical precedent shows Trump frequently directs pointed language at perceived opponents during periods of institutional pushback or diplomatic tension, while scheduled appearances like the UN General Assembly could provide further platforms for such statements. The market reflects crowd-sourced assessments of these immediate political dynamics rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$137,960结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ETPresident Trump’s recent pattern of direct public rebukes, including labeling a Bloomberg reporter “terrible” during an Oval Office exchange over media access restrictions and posting AI imagery mocking banned outlets, underscores the short-term drivers of this market. With the resolution window closing September 30 amid midterm pressures, Federal Reserve rate hikes, and ongoing Iran policy deliberations, traders weigh the likelihood of additional personal criticisms of figures such as former officials, state leaders, or journalists. Historical precedent shows Trump frequently directs pointed language at perceived opponents during periods of institutional pushback or diplomatic tension, while scheduled appearances like the UN General Assembly could provide further platforms for such statements. The market reflects crowd-sourced assessments of these immediate political dynamics rather than forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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