Tesla shares trade near $365 amid balanced Polymarket odds reflecting elevated short-term uncertainty for the September 18 close. Q2 results showed record 480,126 deliveries and $28.2 billion revenue, yet operating margins compressed to 1.4% and free cash flow turned negative as capital expenditures exceed $25 billion to fund Robotaxi, Optimus, and AI infrastructure. Recent Semi truck specifications and European rollout plans add a commercial catalyst, while NHTSA scrutiny of Cybercab certification and competitive pressures in China weigh on sentiment. With analyst targets clustered near $390 and no major near-term data releases before the weekend, trader consensus embeds roughly equal probabilities across the $340–$385 range, consistent with historical weekly volatility around current levels and the market’s pricing of execution risks versus growth momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$365-$370 12%
$360-$365 12%
>385美元 12%
$340-$345 11%
低于340美元
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
7%
350-355美元
8%
355-360美元
11%
$360-$365
12%
$365-$370
12%
$370-$375
11%
375-380美元
10%
$380-$385
7%
>385美元
12%
$365-$370 12%
$360-$365 12%
>385美元 12%
$340-$345 11%
低于340美元
8%
$340-$345
11%
$345-$350
7%
350-355美元
8%
355-360美元
11%
$360-$365
12%
$365-$370
12%
$370-$375
11%
375-380美元
10%
$380-$385
7%
>385美元
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Tesla shares trade near $365 amid balanced Polymarket odds reflecting elevated short-term uncertainty for the September 18 close. Q2 results showed record 480,126 deliveries and $28.2 billion revenue, yet operating margins compressed to 1.4% and free cash flow turned negative as capital expenditures exceed $25 billion to fund Robotaxi, Optimus, and AI infrastructure. Recent Semi truck specifications and European rollout plans add a commercial catalyst, while NHTSA scrutiny of Cybercab certification and competitive pressures in China weigh on sentiment. With analyst targets clustered near $390 and no major near-term data releases before the weekend, trader consensus embeds roughly equal probabilities across the $340–$385 range, consistent with historical weekly volatility around current levels and the market’s pricing of execution risks versus growth momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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