Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the Utah 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting, his status as an incumbent representative with established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their June 2026 primaries in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Utah's voting patterns in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment before November 3, though the district's partisan composition makes such changes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,280 交易量
$42,280 交易量
2026-11-03
迈克·肯尼迪（共和党）
95%
乔尼·拉森（民主党）
4%
$42,280 交易量
$42,280 交易量
2026-11-03
迈克·肯尼迪（共和党）
$16,189 交易量
95%
乔尼·拉森（民主党）
$26,091 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the Utah 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting, his status as an incumbent representative with established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their June 2026 primaries in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Utah's voting patterns in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment before November 3, though the district's partisan composition makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,280结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the Utah 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting, his status as an incumbent representative with established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their June 2026 primaries in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Utah's voting patterns in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment before November 3, though the district's partisan composition makes such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,280结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETMike Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the Utah 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting, his status as an incumbent representative with established name recognition, and a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen. Both candidates advanced unopposed through their June 2026 primaries in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and Utah's voting patterns in recent cycles. A realistic shift would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment before November 3, though the district's partisan composition makes such changes improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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