Recent House action tabling Democratic impeachment articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents underscores the limited prospects for removal proceedings advancing in a Republican-controlled Congress. With midterms still weeks away and no Senate path to conviction evident, institutional barriers remain high. Health and age-related scrutiny has surfaced in polls and commentary but has not triggered 25th Amendment discussions or official incapacity findings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because near-term resignation, successful impeachment, or succession appears structurally improbable absent unforeseen shocks before January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$11,771,968 交易量
$11,771,968 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$11,771,968 交易量
$11,771,968 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House action tabling Democratic impeachment articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents underscores the limited prospects for removal proceedings advancing in a Republican-controlled Congress. With midterms still weeks away and no Senate path to conviction evident, institutional barriers remain high. Health and age-related scrutiny has surfaced in polls and commentary but has not triggered 25th Amendment discussions or official incapacity findings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because near-term resignation, successful impeachment, or succession appears structurally improbable absent unforeseen shocks before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,771,968结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent House action tabling Democratic impeachment articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents underscores the limited prospects for removal proceedings advancing in a Republican-controlled Congress. With midterms still weeks away and no Senate path to conviction evident, institutional barriers remain high. Health and age-related scrutiny has surfaced in polls and commentary but has not triggered 25th Amendment discussions or official incapacity findings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because near-term resignation, successful impeachment, or succession appears structurally improbable absent unforeseen shocks before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,771,968结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRecent House action tabling Democratic impeachment articles over immigration enforcement and related incidents underscores the limited prospects for removal proceedings advancing in a Republican-controlled Congress. With midterms still weeks away and no Senate path to conviction evident, institutional barriers remain high. Health and age-related scrutiny has surfaced in polls and commentary but has not triggered 25th Amendment discussions or official incapacity findings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% because near-term resignation, successful impeachment, or succession appears structurally improbable absent unforeseen shocks before January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题