Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding lead in the NY-08 general election market due to his status as the longtime Democratic incumbent and House minority leader in a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district rated safe for his party by forecasters. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million, underscoring his institutional support and fundraising dominance. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,669 交易量
$32,669 交易量
2026-11-03
哈基姆·杰弗里斯（民主党）
97%
路易斯·米兹拉希（共和党）
2%
$32,669 交易量
$32,669 交易量
2026-11-03
哈基姆·杰弗里斯（民主党）
$14,128 交易量
97%
路易斯·米兹拉希（共和党）
$18,541 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding lead in the NY-08 general election market due to his status as the longtime Democratic incumbent and House minority leader in a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district rated safe for his party by forecasters. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million, underscoring his institutional support and fundraising dominance. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$32,669结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding lead in the NY-08 general election market due to his status as the longtime Democratic incumbent and House minority leader in a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district rated safe for his party by forecasters. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million, underscoring his institutional support and fundraising dominance. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,669结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETHakeem Jeffries holds a commanding lead in the NY-08 general election market due to his status as the longtime Democratic incumbent and House minority leader in a solidly Democratic Brooklyn district rated safe for his party by forecasters. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary after potential challengers withdrew, while Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi also faced no primary opposition. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million, underscoring his institutional support and fundraising dominance. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and historical voting patterns in the district. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though current conditions show no such catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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