Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in the market due to her centre-right coalition’s record of governmental stability, which reached a postwar high of 1,413 consecutive days in early September 2026, alongside achievements in employment growth and fiscal management ahead of the next general election due by December 2027. Traders price her as the frontrunner because her Brothers of Italy party remains the largest single force in polls, even as support for the broader coalition has narrowed. Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte trail as the main centre-left alternatives, reflecting ongoing efforts by the Democratic Party, Five Star Movement and allies to build a unified “campo largo” opposition through recent joint events and program discussions. Roberto Vannacci’s rapid rise with his new far-right party has further fragmented the right, capping his own odds while pressuring Meloni’s coalition ahead of potential early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Giorgia Meloni 50%
Elly Schlein 15%
Giuseppe Conte 14%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇 9.2%
$83,178 交易量
$83,178 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
50%
Elly Schlein
15%
Giuseppe Conte
14%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
1%
西尔维娅·萨利斯
9%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇
9%
马泰奥·伦齐
<1%
安杰洛·博内利
<1%
卡洛·卡伦达
1%
Giorgia Meloni 50%
Elly Schlein 15%
Giuseppe Conte 14%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇 9.2%
$83,178 交易量
$83,178 交易量
Giorgia Meloni
50%
Elly Schlein
15%
Giuseppe Conte
14%
Antonio Tajani
<1%
Matteo Salvini
<1%
Guido Crosetto
<1%
Mario Draghi
1%
西尔维娅·萨利斯
9%
罗伯托·瓦纳奇
9%
马泰奥·伦齐
<1%
安杰洛·博内利
<1%
卡洛·卡伦达
1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in the market due to her centre-right coalition’s record of governmental stability, which reached a postwar high of 1,413 consecutive days in early September 2026, alongside achievements in employment growth and fiscal management ahead of the next general election due by December 2027. Traders price her as the frontrunner because her Brothers of Italy party remains the largest single force in polls, even as support for the broader coalition has narrowed. Elly Schlein and Giuseppe Conte trail as the main centre-left alternatives, reflecting ongoing efforts by the Democratic Party, Five Star Movement and allies to build a unified “campo largo” opposition through recent joint events and program discussions. Roberto Vannacci’s rapid rise with his new far-right party has further fragmented the right, capping his own odds while pressuring Meloni’s coalition ahead of potential early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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