Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,730 交易量
$45,730 交易量
2026-11-02
瓦莱丽·福希（民主党）
95%
马克斯·加诺卡尔（共和党）
3%
$45,730 交易量
$45,730 交易量
2026-11-02
瓦莱丽·福希（民主党）
$14,801 交易量
95%
马克斯·加诺卡尔（共和党）
$30,929 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,730结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETValerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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