Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, 2026, in a remote Northern Territory seat with a strong Indigenous majority and historical Labor base. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from the region, McGrath emphasizes healthcare access and community services while positioning himself to continue elements of the outgoing independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s work. The short campaign timeline ahead of the September 12 vote, combined with limited opposition from independent Andrew Blamey, has consolidated trader consensus around Labor’s organizational advantages and candidate profile. A late surge by another independent or unexpectedly high turnout for non-Labor options remains possible but has not shifted current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦尔·麦格拉思
96%
安德鲁·布拉米
1%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
伊瓦尔·麦格拉思
$1,901 交易量
96%
安德鲁·布拉米
$851 交易量
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, 2026, in a remote Northern Territory seat with a strong Indigenous majority and historical Labor base. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from the region, McGrath emphasizes healthcare access and community services while positioning himself to continue elements of the outgoing independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s work. The short campaign timeline ahead of the September 12 vote, combined with limited opposition from independent Andrew Blamey, has consolidated trader consensus around Labor’s organizational advantages and candidate profile. A late surge by another independent or unexpectedly high turnout for non-Labor options remains possible but has not shifted current implied probabilities.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$2,733结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETA by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, 2026, in a remote Northern Territory seat with a strong Indigenous majority and historical Labor base. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from the region, McGrath emphasizes healthcare access and community services while positioning himself to continue elements of the outgoing independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s work. The short campaign timeline ahead of the September 12 vote, combined with limited opposition from independent Andrew Blamey, has consolidated trader consensus around Labor’s organizational advantages and candidate profile. A late surge by another independent or unexpectedly high turnout for non-Labor options remains possible but has not shifted current implied probabilities.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
交易量
$2,733结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETYiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, 2026, in a remote Northern Territory seat with a strong Indigenous majority and historical Labor base. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from the region, McGrath emphasizes healthcare access and community services while positioning himself to continue elements of the outgoing independent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula’s work. The short campaign timeline ahead of the September 12 vote, combined with limited opposition from independent Andrew Blamey, has consolidated trader consensus around Labor’s organizational advantages and candidate profile. A late surge by another independent or unexpectedly high turnout for non-Labor options remains possible but has not shifted current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题