Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
95%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
4%
$117,455 交易量
$117,455 交易量
2026-11-02
特伦特·凯利（共和党）
$85,217 交易量
95%
克利夫·约翰逊（民主党）
$32,239 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$117,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$117,455结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Trent Kelly maintains a commanding lead in Mississippi's 1st congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Cliff Johnson secured his party's nomination after defeating Kelvin Buck. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's voter base and limited competitive polling three months before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Kelly reflects this structural advantage. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic wave could still alter the outcome, though such shifts have been rare in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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