**Trader consensus heavily favors a 56-57°F low for Denver on September 9, 2026, with 95% implied probability.** National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 55°F near dawn, aligning closely with the leading bucket and reflecting typical early-September radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Model consensus from prior days projected overnight temperatures in this narrow range, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 53°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection or cloud cover that could drive sharper drops. Scenarios that could have challenged this positioning include an unexpected influx of cooler continental air or increased low-level moisture raising the dew point, though neither materialized in official data. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final NWS verification and any station-specific adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日丹佛最低气温?
56-57°F 95%
53°F或以下 2%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,879 交易量
$1,879 交易量
53°F或以下
2%
54-55°F
-
56-57°F
95%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F或更高
<1%
56-57°F 95%
53°F或以下 2%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$1,879 交易量
$1,879 交易量
53°F或以下
2%
54-55°F
-
56-57°F
95%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 56-57°F low for Denver on September 9, 2026, with 95% implied probability.** National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 55°F near dawn, aligning closely with the leading bucket and reflecting typical early-September radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions with light winds. Model consensus from prior days projected overnight temperatures in this narrow range, consistent with the 1991-2020 climatological normal low of 53°F and the absence of strong cold-air advection or cloud cover that could drive sharper drops. Scenarios that could have challenged this positioning include an unexpected influx of cooler continental air or increased low-level moisture raising the dew point, though neither materialized in official data. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final NWS verification and any station-specific adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题