Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日成都最低气温?
15°C或以下 84%
25°C或更高 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
15°C或以下
84%
16°C
32%
17°C
31%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
48%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C或更高
69%
15°C或以下 84%
25°C或更高 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
15°C或以下
84%
16°C
32%
17°C
31%
18°C
32%
19°C
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
48%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C或更高
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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