Morgan Stanley’s commanding 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead-arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, where it anchored the largest commitments alongside Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup. This structure mirrors pre-IPO financing precedents and directly ties debt participation tiers to expected underwriting hierarchy, giving Morgan Stanley the edge in valuation discussions and “lead left” positioning ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs holds a secondary but meaningful role as stabilization agent, while lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others mirror their smaller credit commitments and limited recent deal momentum. Trader consensus prices in these capital-market alignments over broader sector competition with OpenAI.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Morgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 7%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 交易量
$64,236 交易量
2027-12-31
Morgan Stanley
68%
Goldman Sachs
7%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 70%
Goldman Sachs 7%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$64,236 交易量
$64,236 交易量
2027-12-31
Morgan Stanley
$16,971 交易量
68%
Goldman Sachs
$12,145 交易量
7%
JPMorgan
$11,535 交易量
<1%
Bank of America
$5,606 交易量
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 交易量
<1%
Barclays
$3,179 交易量
<1%
UBS
$3,500 交易量
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 交易量
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s commanding 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead-arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, where it anchored the largest commitments alongside Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup. This structure mirrors pre-IPO financing precedents and directly ties debt participation tiers to expected underwriting hierarchy, giving Morgan Stanley the edge in valuation discussions and “lead left” positioning ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs holds a secondary but meaningful role as stabilization agent, while lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others mirror their smaller credit commitments and limited recent deal momentum. Trader consensus prices in these capital-market alignments over broader sector competition with OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$64,236结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s commanding 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead-arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, where it anchored the largest commitments alongside Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup. This structure mirrors pre-IPO financing precedents and directly ties debt participation tiers to expected underwriting hierarchy, giving Morgan Stanley the edge in valuation discussions and “lead left” positioning ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs holds a secondary but meaningful role as stabilization agent, while lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others mirror their smaller credit commitments and limited recent deal momentum. Trader consensus prices in these capital-market alignments over broader sector competition with OpenAI.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$64,236结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETMorgan Stanley’s commanding 65.5% implied probability reflects its lead-arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, where it anchored the largest commitments alongside Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citigroup. This structure mirrors pre-IPO financing precedents and directly ties debt participation tiers to expected underwriting hierarchy, giving Morgan Stanley the edge in valuation discussions and “lead left” positioning ahead of a potential late-September filing and mid-October Nasdaq listing. Goldman Sachs holds a secondary but meaningful role as stabilization agent, while lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others mirror their smaller credit commitments and limited recent deal momentum. Trader consensus prices in these capital-market alignments over broader sector competition with OpenAI.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题