Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《希望》开场周末票房
《希望》开场周末票房
低于600万 44%
900万-1000万 29%
600万-700万 27%
700万-800万 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低于600万
44%
600万-700万
27%
700万-800万
23%
800万-900万美元
21%
900万-1000万
29%
1000万+
19%
低于600万 44%
900万-1000万 29%
600万-700万 27%
700万-800万 23%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
低于600万
$1 交易量
44%
600万-700万
$0 交易量
27%
700万-800万
$0 交易量
23%
800万-900万美元
$0 交易量
21%
900万-1000万
$0 交易量
29%
1000万+
$0 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$1结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNeon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 positions the market toward a modest domestic opening, with the sub-$6 million bin leading at 43.5% implied probability. The 156-minute runtime, midweek launch, and 77% Rotten Tomatoes score create headwinds for broad mainstream appeal despite sold-out premium-format previews, strong presales in major markets, and Cannes buzz. Historical performance of imported genre titles and September competition further support trader caution around breakout potential, while the film’s strong South Korean results offer limited direct precedent for U.S. tracking. The closely bunched 6–10 million ranges reflect uncertainty ahead of the September 11–13 weekend numbers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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