Recent comments from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have driven trader consensus toward Jack Lowden, elevating his implied probability to 37.9% as the frontrunner. Oldman stated in early September that producers have selected the next Bond but have not yet announced the choice, while expressing support for Lowden on the shortlist; Knight similarly hinted that knowing the actor has simplified scripting the Denis Villeneuve-directed film. Lowden’s established screen presence as an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series aligns with the franchise’s shift under Amazon MGM and new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. The 19.6% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official confirmation, with the shortlist—including Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others—still shaping betting activity ahead of an expected year-end announcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
下一个詹姆斯·邦德演员？
杰克·劳登 37.9%
尚未选定邦德 19.6%
杰克·巴顿 11.5%
卡勒姆·特纳 8.8%
$772,348 交易量
$772,348 交易量
杰克·劳登
38%
尚未选定邦德
20%
杰克·巴顿
12%
卡勒姆·特纳
9%
杰克·奥康奈尔
4%
汤姆·弗朗西斯
3%
理查德·麦登
2%
哈里斯·迪金森
2%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
雅各布·艾洛迪
1%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
乔纳森·贝利
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
汤姆·哈迪
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
汤姆·布莱思
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
迈克尔·B·乔丹
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
尼古拉斯·加利茨因
<1%
杰克·劳登 37.9%
尚未选定邦德 19.6%
杰克·巴顿 11.5%
卡勒姆·特纳 8.8%
$772,348 交易量
$772,348 交易量
杰克·劳登
38%
尚未选定邦德
20%
杰克·巴顿
12%
卡勒姆·特纳
9%
杰克·奥康奈尔
4%
汤姆·弗朗西斯
3%
理查德·麦登
2%
哈里斯·迪金森
2%
乔什·奥康纳
1%
雅各布·艾洛迪
1%
亚伦·泰勒-约翰逊
1%
提莫西·查拉梅
1%
乔纳森·贝利
1%
西奥·詹姆斯
1%
亨利·卡维尔
<1%
詹姆斯·诺顿
<1%
汤姆·哈迪
<1%
罗伯特·詹姆斯-科利尔
<1%
汤姆·布莱思
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
皮尔斯·布鲁斯南
<1%
迈克尔·B·乔丹
<1%
汤姆·霍兰德
<1%
尼古拉斯·加利茨因
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent comments from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have driven trader consensus toward Jack Lowden, elevating his implied probability to 37.9% as the frontrunner. Oldman stated in early September that producers have selected the next Bond but have not yet announced the choice, while expressing support for Lowden on the shortlist; Knight similarly hinted that knowing the actor has simplified scripting the Denis Villeneuve-directed film. Lowden’s established screen presence as an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series aligns with the franchise’s shift under Amazon MGM and new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. The 19.6% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official confirmation, with the shortlist—including Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others—still shaping betting activity ahead of an expected year-end announcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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