Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 10, supported by northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and humidex values near 26, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.1°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C reflect trader assessments of urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites, potential model warming in afternoon ensembles, and reduced cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on precise peak timing, boundary-layer mixing under breezy conditions, and minor variations in observed dew points or insolation. Historical records show highs reaching 26°C or above roughly 30–40% of recent Septembers under similar setups, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日多伦多气温最高？
9月10日多伦多气温最高？
25°C 45%
24°C 37%
26°C 19%
23°C 4%
最新
$26,838 交易量
最新
$26,838 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
37%
25°C
45%
26°C
19%
27°C或更高
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 37%
26°C 19%
23°C 4%
最新
$26,838 交易量
最新
$26,838 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$421 交易量
<1%
18°C
$867 交易量
<1%
19°C
$529 交易量
<1%
20°C
$882 交易量
<1%
21°C
$347 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,831 交易量
1%
23°C
$4,095 交易量
4%
24°C
$6,538 交易量
37%
25°C
$5,143 交易量
45%
26°C
$5,385 交易量
19%
27°C或更高
$800 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 10, supported by northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and humidex values near 26, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.1°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C reflect trader assessments of urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites, potential model warming in afternoon ensembles, and reduced cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on precise peak timing, boundary-layer mixing under breezy conditions, and minor variations in observed dew points or insolation. Historical records show highs reaching 26°C or above roughly 30–40% of recent Septembers under similar setups, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$26,838结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 10, supported by northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and humidex values near 26, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.1°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C reflect trader assessments of urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites, potential model warming in afternoon ensembles, and reduced cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on precise peak timing, boundary-layer mixing under breezy conditions, and minor variations in observed dew points or insolation. Historical records show highs reaching 26°C or above roughly 30–40% of recent Septembers under similar setups, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,838结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Environment Canada project a mainly sunny high of 23°C for Toronto on September 10, supported by northwest winds gusting to 40 km/h and humidex values near 26, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 23.1°C. Market-implied odds favoring 25°C reflect trader assessments of urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites, potential model warming in afternoon ensembles, and reduced cloud cover allowing stronger solar heating. Differentiation among 24–26°C hinges on precise peak timing, boundary-layer mixing under breezy conditions, and minor variations in observed dew points or insolation. Historical records show highs reaching 26°C or above roughly 30–40% of recent Septembers under similar setups, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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