Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in Sao Paulo on September 9, driven by official daily observations from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) confirming a maximum of exactly that value. Early September climatology in the region features stable subtropical high pressure and moderate insolation, producing typical highs near 22–24°C without active fronts or heat advection. With the full 24-hour observation window now closed and preliminary station data publicly available, market-implied odds reflect the absence of measurement uncertainty or pending revisions. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to raw station logs or a change in the precise reporting methodology could alter the outcome, though such adjustments occur infrequently after initial verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月9日圣保罗的最高温度？
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,790 交易量
$41,790 交易量
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,790 交易量
$41,790 交易量
2026-09-09
15°C或以下
$1,333 交易量
否
16°C
$1,238 交易量
否
17°C
$3,449 交易量
否
18°C
$4,207 交易量
否
19°C
$3,368 交易量
否
20°C
$3,038 交易量
否
21°C
$6,517 交易量
否
22°C
$5,604 交易量
是
23°C
$5,667 交易量
否
24°C
$3,451 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$3,916 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in Sao Paulo on September 9, driven by official daily observations from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) confirming a maximum of exactly that value. Early September climatology in the region features stable subtropical high pressure and moderate insolation, producing typical highs near 22–24°C without active fronts or heat advection. With the full 24-hour observation window now closed and preliminary station data publicly available, market-implied odds reflect the absence of measurement uncertainty or pending revisions. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to raw station logs or a change in the precise reporting methodology could alter the outcome, though such adjustments occur infrequently after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$41,790结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in Sao Paulo on September 9, driven by official daily observations from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) confirming a maximum of exactly that value. Early September climatology in the region features stable subtropical high pressure and moderate insolation, producing typical highs near 22–24°C without active fronts or heat advection. With the full 24-hour observation window now closed and preliminary station data publicly available, market-implied odds reflect the absence of measurement uncertainty or pending revisions. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to raw station logs or a change in the precise reporting methodology could alter the outcome, though such adjustments occur infrequently after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,790结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has locked in 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in Sao Paulo on September 9, driven by official daily observations from the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) confirming a maximum of exactly that value. Early September climatology in the region features stable subtropical high pressure and moderate insolation, producing typical highs near 22–24°C without active fronts or heat advection. With the full 24-hour observation window now closed and preliminary station data publicly available, market-implied odds reflect the absence of measurement uncertainty or pending revisions. Only an unlikely post-publication correction to raw station logs or a change in the precise reporting methodology could alter the outcome, though such adjustments occur infrequently after initial verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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