Recent observational data from Paris-area meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on September 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, driving the market's near-certain 24°C outcome. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.9°C yet aligns with model consensus and real-time reports showing afternoon peaks near that threshold without exceeding it. Trader consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, as the resolution window has closed. Only an improbable late revision from the primary station or definitional variance in “highest temperature” could alter positioning, though such adjustments remain rare for this market type.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日巴黎气温最高?
24°C 100%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$81,477 交易量
$81,477 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
24°C 100%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$81,477 交易量
$81,477 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data from Paris-area meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 24°C on September 20, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, driving the market's near-certain 24°C outcome. This exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.9°C yet aligns with model consensus and real-time reports showing afternoon peaks near that threshold without exceeding it. Trader consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, as the resolution window has closed. Only an improbable late revision from the primary station or definitional variance in “highest temperature” could alter positioning, though such adjustments remain rare for this market type.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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