Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate light rain and northeast winds will limit daytime heating in Beijing on September 24, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 24–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while the modest pressure gradient supports only light advection rather than strong warm-air transport. Recent model runs have converged on highs of 22–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing or stronger southerly flow the main variables that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日北京气温最高？
9月24日北京气温最高？
24°C 32%
23°C 27%
25°C 20%
22°C 11%
最新
$12,051 交易量
最新
$12,051 交易量
2026-09-24
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
32%
25°C
20%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
24°C 32%
23°C 27%
25°C 20%
22°C 11%
最新
$12,051 交易量
最新
$12,051 交易量
2026-09-24
21°C或以下
$882 交易量
3%
22°C
$752 交易量
11%
23°C
$937 交易量
27%
24°C
$796 交易量
32%
25°C
$746 交易量
20%
26°C
$1,778 交易量
9%
27°C
$728 交易量
3%
28°C
$754 交易量
2%
29°C
$1,193 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,608 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$2,127 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate light rain and northeast winds will limit daytime heating in Beijing on September 24, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 24–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while the modest pressure gradient supports only light advection rather than strong warm-air transport. Recent model runs have converged on highs of 22–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing or stronger southerly flow the main variables that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$12,051结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate light rain and northeast winds will limit daytime heating in Beijing on September 24, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 24–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while the modest pressure gradient supports only light advection rather than strong warm-air transport. Recent model runs have converged on highs of 22–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing or stronger southerly flow the main variables that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,051结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate light rain and northeast winds will limit daytime heating in Beijing on September 24, keeping maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of roughly 24–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers suppress solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while the modest pressure gradient supports only light advection rather than strong warm-air transport. Recent model runs have converged on highs of 22–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any late-day clearing or stronger southerly flow the main variables that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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