Forecast models from AEMET and other agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 10 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions typical of early autumn in the region’s continental climate. Recent observations show a modest cooling from the prior week’s warmer readings, with overnight lows near 12–15°C limiting daytime recovery. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, and current guidance aligns closely with this baseline without significant model spread or anomalous atmospheric drivers such as strong subsidence or advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 27°C, centers on these values as the most likely official high reported for the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日马德里气温最高？
9月10日马德里气温最高？
28°C 72%
27°C 19%
29°C 9%
26°C 1.3%
$17,968 交易量
$17,968 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
19%
28°C
72%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
28°C 72%
27°C 19%
29°C 9%
26°C 1.3%
$17,968 交易量
$17,968 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$471 交易量
<1%
25°C
$307 交易量
<1%
26°C
$780 交易量
1%
27°C
$4,015 交易量
19%
28°C
$4,510 交易量
72%
29°C
$4,005 交易量
9%
30°C
$805 交易量
<1%
31°C
$387 交易量
<1%
32°C
$785 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,375 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$527 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and other agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 10 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions typical of early autumn in the region’s continental climate. Recent observations show a modest cooling from the prior week’s warmer readings, with overnight lows near 12–15°C limiting daytime recovery. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, and current guidance aligns closely with this baseline without significant model spread or anomalous atmospheric drivers such as strong subsidence or advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 27°C, centers on these values as the most likely official high reported for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$17,968结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and other agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 10 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions typical of early autumn in the region’s continental climate. Recent observations show a modest cooling from the prior week’s warmer readings, with overnight lows near 12–15°C limiting daytime recovery. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, and current guidance aligns closely with this baseline without significant model spread or anomalous atmospheric drivers such as strong subsidence or advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 27°C, centers on these values as the most likely official high reported for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,968结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from AEMET and other agencies indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 27–28°C on September 10 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions typical of early autumn in the region’s continental climate. Recent observations show a modest cooling from the prior week’s warmer readings, with overnight lows near 12–15°C limiting daytime recovery. Historical September averages hover around 27–28°C, and current guidance aligns closely with this baseline without significant model spread or anomalous atmospheric drivers such as strong subsidence or advection of warmer air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the 73% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 27°C, centers on these values as the most likely official high reported for the day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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