**Forecast consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models positions a daily high of 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 51% and 37.5% implied probabilities.** Late-monsoon conditions feature moderate southwesterly flow, high humidity (60–80%), and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while the Arabian Sea breeze provides natural cooling. This setup matches September climatology, where average highs reach 31–33.5°C, though a broader national outlook for above-average September temperatures supports the slight edge for the upper end of that range. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce the risk of significant deviations, keeping lower (≤31°C) or higher (≥34°C) outcomes at single-digit odds. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs and historical analogs heavily in this narrow distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日卡拉奇的最高温度？
9月10日卡拉奇的最高温度？
32°C 48%
33°C 38%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
48%
33°C
38%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 38%
31°C 9%
34°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
27°C或以下
$380 交易量
<1%
28°C
$588 交易量
<1%
29°C
$285 交易量
<1%
30°C
$463 交易量
1%
31°C
$465 交易量
9%
32°C
$3,056 交易量
48%
33°C
$1,874 交易量
38%
34°C
$382 交易量
5%
35°C
$770 交易量
1%
36°C
$303 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$329 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models positions a daily high of 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 51% and 37.5% implied probabilities.**
Late-monsoon conditions feature moderate southwesterly flow, high humidity (60–80%), and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while the Arabian Sea breeze provides natural cooling. This setup matches September climatology, where average highs reach 31–33.5°C, though a broader national outlook for above-average September temperatures supports the slight edge for the upper end of that range. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce the risk of significant deviations, keeping lower (≤31°C) or higher (≥34°C) outcomes at single-digit odds. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs and historical analogs heavily in this narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,894结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models positions a daily high of 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 51% and 37.5% implied probabilities.**
Late-monsoon conditions feature moderate southwesterly flow, high humidity (60–80%), and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while the Arabian Sea breeze provides natural cooling. This setup matches September climatology, where average highs reach 31–33.5°C, though a broader national outlook for above-average September temperatures supports the slight edge for the upper end of that range. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce the risk of significant deviations, keeping lower (≤31°C) or higher (≥34°C) outcomes at single-digit odds. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs and historical analogs heavily in this narrow distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,894结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models positions a daily high of 32–33°C as the most likely outcome for Karachi on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 51% and 37.5% implied probabilities.** Late-monsoon conditions feature moderate southwesterly flow, high humidity (60–80%), and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating while the Arabian Sea breeze provides natural cooling. This setup matches September climatology, where average highs reach 31–33.5°C, though a broader national outlook for above-average September temperatures supports the slight edge for the upper end of that range. Low precipitation chances and stable steering patterns reduce the risk of significant deviations, keeping lower (≤31°C) or higher (≥34°C) outcomes at single-digit odds. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs and historical analogs heavily in this narrow distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题