**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日北京气温最高？
9月14日北京气温最高？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 交易量
$76,218 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$76,218 交易量
$76,218 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$253 交易量
否
22°C
$252 交易量
否
23°C
$253 交易量
否
24°C
$684 交易量
否
25°C
$4,990 交易量
否
26°C
$23,756 交易量
是
27°C
$13,699 交易量
否
28°C
$14,341 交易量
否
29°C
$10,160 交易量
否
30°C
$3,895 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$3,935 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$76,218结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$76,218结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature in Beijing on September 14, 2026, reflecting near-certain alignment across forecast models and early observations.** Multiple meteorological sources, including updated runs from regional agencies, project a daily maximum near 26–27°C under clear to mostly clear skies, light variable winds, and low humidity around 30–40%, consistent with the late-summer climatological average high of 26.7°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without pushing extremes. The market-implied odds capture this strong data consensus while acknowledging minor uncertainty in final verified readings. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud development reducing solar radiation or localized wind shifts that enhance mixing and cap the peak below 26°C; conversely, delayed cooling or urban heat effects remain low-probability risks given the current stable pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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