**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models positions a daily high of 98–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, 2026.** Persistent late-summer warmth, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies under high pressure have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average high of ~92°F. Official point forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for a high near 99°F with heat indices reaching 105°F, while other guidance shows 98°F; recent model runs have remained stable without major shifts from upstream disturbances or Gulf moisture. This narrow band around the upper 90s explains the dominant 73.5% market-implied probability for 98–99°F, with lower odds on 100–101°F reflecting only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected. Historical September 10 highs average lower, and the current dry pattern (minimal precipitation chance) supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the official forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月10日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 80%
100-101°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
最新
$14,448 交易量
最新
$14,448 交易量
2026-09-10
89°F或以下
<1%
90-91华氏度
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
80%
100-101°F
9%
102-103华氏度
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 80%
100-101°F 9%
96-97°F 8%
94-95°F 3%
最新
$14,448 交易量
最新
$14,448 交易量
2026-09-10
89°F或以下
$479 交易量
<1%
90-91华氏度
$402 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$122 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$335 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$5,278 交易量
8%
98-99°F
$4,253 交易量
80%
100-101°F
$1,844 交易量
9%
102-103华氏度
$744 交易量
3%
104-105°F
$267 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$427 交易量
<1%
108°F或更高
$295 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models positions a daily high of 98–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, 2026.**
Persistent late-summer warmth, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies under high pressure have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average high of ~92°F. Official point forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for a high near 99°F with heat indices reaching 105°F, while other guidance shows 98°F; recent model runs have remained stable without major shifts from upstream disturbances or Gulf moisture. This narrow band around the upper 90s explains the dominant 73.5% market-implied probability for 98–99°F, with lower odds on 100–101°F reflecting only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected. Historical September 10 highs average lower, and the current dry pattern (minimal precipitation chance) supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the official forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,448结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models positions a daily high of 98–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, 2026.**
Persistent late-summer warmth, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies under high pressure have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average high of ~92°F. Official point forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for a high near 99°F with heat indices reaching 105°F, while other guidance shows 98°F; recent model runs have remained stable without major shifts from upstream disturbances or Gulf moisture. This narrow band around the upper 90s explains the dominant 73.5% market-implied probability for 98–99°F, with lower odds on 100–101°F reflecting only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected. Historical September 10 highs average lower, and the current dry pattern (minimal precipitation chance) supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the official forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,448结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and other models positions a daily high of 98–99°F as the most likely outcome for Austin on September 10, 2026.** Persistent late-summer warmth, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies under high pressure have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average high of ~92°F. Official point forecasts for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport call for a high near 99°F with heat indices reaching 105°F, while other guidance shows 98°F; recent model runs have remained stable without major shifts from upstream disturbances or Gulf moisture. This narrow band around the upper 90s explains the dominant 73.5% market-implied probability for 98–99°F, with lower odds on 100–101°F reflecting only modest upside potential if skies clear more than expected. Historical September 10 highs average lower, and the current dry pattern (minimal precipitation chance) supports the tight clustering of trader sentiment around the official forecast range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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