Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Ankara's September 10 maximum near 30°C, aligning with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including consistent peaks of 29–31°C in afternoon hours, reflect typical late-summer diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence. Historical September averages hover near 26°C, yet recent observational trends show slightly above-normal warmth persisting. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from central stations, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in forecast guidance and minimal model divergence as favoring the 30°C threshold over nearby alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月10日安卡拉的最高温度？
30°C 65%
31°C 30%
29°C 8%
32°C 1.0%
最新
$28,023 交易量
最新
$28,023 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
65%
31°C
30%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 65%
31°C 30%
29°C 8%
32°C 1.0%
最新
$28,023 交易量
最新
$28,023 交易量
2026-09-10
24°C或以下
$1,489 交易量
<1%
25°C
$361 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,247 交易量
<1%
27°C
$336 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,197 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,393 交易量
8%
30°C
$7,833 交易量
65%
31°C
$6,483 交易量
30%
32°C
$3,088 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,038 交易量
<1%
34°C或更高
$1,557 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Ankara's September 10 maximum near 30°C, aligning with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including consistent peaks of 29–31°C in afternoon hours, reflect typical late-summer diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence. Historical September averages hover near 26°C, yet recent observational trends show slightly above-normal warmth persisting. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from central stations, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in forecast guidance and minimal model divergence as favoring the 30°C threshold over nearby alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,023结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Ankara's September 10 maximum near 30°C, aligning with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including consistent peaks of 29–31°C in afternoon hours, reflect typical late-summer diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence. Historical September averages hover near 26°C, yet recent observational trends show slightly above-normal warmth persisting. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from central stations, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in forecast guidance and minimal model divergence as favoring the 30°C threshold over nearby alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,023结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETClear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Ankara's September 10 maximum near 30°C, aligning with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and multiple numerical weather prediction runs, including consistent peaks of 29–31°C in afternoon hours, reflect typical late-summer diurnal heating without significant moisture or frontal influence. Historical September averages hover near 26°C, yet recent observational trends show slightly above-normal warmth persisting. With resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from central stations, traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in forecast guidance and minimal model divergence as favoring the 30°C threshold over nearby alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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