Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,721 交易量
$11,721 交易量
2026-11-02
卢克·布罗宁（民主党）
95%
艾米·柴 (共和党)
3%
$11,721 交易量
$11,721 交易量
2026-11-02
卢克·布罗宁（民主党）
$2,926 交易量
95%
艾米·柴 (共和党)
$8,795 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,721结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,721结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETLuke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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