The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$435,127 交易量
2026-12-31
December 31
15%
$435,127 交易量
December 31
$23,254 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ET
交易量
$435,127結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.The Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$435,127結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 9:50 AM ETThe Trump administration’s maximum pressure campaign, including the May 2026 Executive Order 14404 authorizing secondary sanctions on GAESA-linked entities and the January 2026 oil blockade, remains the dominant driver of US-Cuba economic relations. Recent September designations targeting nickel mining, military-industrial, and revenue-generating firms have further restricted foreign investment and shipping, exacerbating Cuba’s shortages while Havana advances its own June-approved package of 176 market-liberalization measures to attract private and diaspora capital. Secret talks earlier in 2026 that explored US oil supplies and investment in exchange for concessions collapsed amid domestic political constraints and Cuban resistance, with officials stating no formal agenda exists despite ongoing contacts. Any path to a bilateral economic deal would require verifiable Cuban policy shifts sufficient to alter the current sanctions trajectory before scheduled reviews or new designations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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