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icon for Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?

Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?

icon for Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?

Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?

15% 機率
Polymarket
最新

15% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment, resuming votes and public appearances. He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the June primary for New Jersey’s 7th District and has continued active campaigning against Democrat Rebecca Bennett ahead of the November general election. Recent September polling shows a tight race, with outside support from aligned super PACs flowing to his reelection bid and no public statements or procedural moves indicating plans to resign or retire before the term concludes in January 2027. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 87% reflects the absence of any confirmed developments pointing to an early exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$204
結束日期
2027-01-04
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R-NJ) returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment, resuming votes and public appearances. He secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the June primary for New Jersey’s 7th District and has continued active campaigning against Democrat Rebecca Bennett ahead of the November general election. Recent September polling shows a tight race, with outside support from aligned super PACs flowing to his reelection bid and no public statements or procedural moves indicating plans to resign or retire before the term concludes in January 2027. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 87% reflects the absence of any confirmed developments pointing to an early exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$204
結束日期
2027-01-04
市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Kean Jr.會在任期結束前離任美國眾議員嗎?" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?" is "Tom Kean Jr.會在任期結束前離任美國眾議員嗎?" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tom Kean Jr.在任期結束前出任美國代表?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.