Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to strong name recognition from his prior service as Boa Vista mayor and his dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilização timing. Recent polling averages show him maintaining roughly 60% support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad voter preference and party backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus assigns him over 90% implied probability of victory. Key variables that could alter the outcome include a definitive court ruling barring his registration, shifts in turnout among key municipal bases, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers such as Soldado Sampaio.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於亞瑟·恩里克 94%
薩爾達多·桑帕尤 3.5%
法拉·梅斯基塔 1.9%
羅西·艾雷斯 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
亞瑟·恩里克
94%
薩爾達多·桑帕尤
3%
法拉·梅斯基塔
2%
羅西·艾雷斯
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
亞瑟·恩里克 94%
薩爾達多·桑帕尤 3.5%
法拉·梅斯基塔 1.9%
羅西·艾雷斯 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
亞瑟·恩里克
$4,794 交易量
94%
薩爾達多·桑帕尤
$183 交易量
3%
法拉·梅斯基塔
$153 交易量
2%
羅西·艾雷斯
$227 交易量
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$318 交易量
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to strong name recognition from his prior service as Boa Vista mayor and his dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilização timing. Recent polling averages show him maintaining roughly 60% support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad voter preference and party backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus assigns him over 90% implied probability of victory. Key variables that could alter the outcome include a definitive court ruling barring his registration, shifts in turnout among key municipal bases, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers such as Soldado Sampaio.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
交易量
$5,676結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETThe Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to strong name recognition from his prior service as Boa Vista mayor and his dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilização timing. Recent polling averages show him maintaining roughly 60% support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad voter preference and party backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus assigns him over 90% implied probability of victory. Key variables that could alter the outcome include a definitive court ruling barring his registration, shifts in turnout among key municipal bases, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers such as Soldado Sampaio.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$5,676結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETArthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to strong name recognition from his prior service as Boa Vista mayor and his dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election, where he secured over 60% of valid votes despite the candidacy remaining sub judice over desincompatibilização timing. Recent polling averages show him maintaining roughly 60% support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting broad voter preference and party backing amid a fragmented field. Trader consensus assigns him over 90% implied probability of victory. Key variables that could alter the outcome include a definitive court ruling barring his registration, shifts in turnout among key municipal bases, or unexpected consolidation behind challengers such as Soldado Sampaio.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions