Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s two-seat Senate race, with Datafolha’s mid-September survey showing her at 18% combined intentions and 30% on first-choice votes. This underpins trader consensus favoring her over a crowded field where Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Monica Benicio (PSOL) remain statistically tied for second within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares—often exceeding 25%—plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names sustain volatility. September polling has shown modest gains for the PL pair without altering the overall ordering, leaving limited room for late shifts absent major alliance changes or turnout surges before October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Benedita da Silva 57%
卡洛斯·喬迪 21%
Marcelo Crivella 5.5%
佩德羅·保羅 2.9%
$49,587 交易量
$49,587 交易量
2026-10-04
Benedita da Silva
57%
卡洛斯·喬迪
21%
Marcelo Crivella
6%
佩德羅·保羅
3%
卡洛斯·波爾蒂尼奧
20%
安德烈·蒙特羅
<1%
赫利奧·塞科
<1%
盧西亞諾·馬托斯
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
馬科斯·迪亞斯
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
莫妮卡·貝尼西奧
<1%
奧·克萊門特
<1%
保拉·法爾康
<1%
維尼修斯·貝內維德斯
<1%
瓦吉尼奧
<1%
Benedita da Silva 57%
卡洛斯·喬迪 21%
Marcelo Crivella 5.5%
佩德羅·保羅 2.9%
$49,587 交易量
$49,587 交易量
2026-10-04
Benedita da Silva
$18,384 交易量
57%
卡洛斯·喬迪
$10,646 交易量
21%
Marcelo Crivella
$5,913 交易量
6%
佩德羅·保羅
$2,658 交易量
3%
卡洛斯·波爾蒂尼奧
$3,312 交易量
20%
安德烈·蒙特羅
$816 交易量
<1%
赫利奧·塞科
$490 交易量
<1%
盧西亞諾·馬托斯
$375 交易量
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$763 交易量
<1%
馬科斯·迪亞斯
$887 交易量
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$671 交易量
<1%
莫妮卡·貝尼西奧
$843 交易量
<1%
奧·克萊門特
$1,630 交易量
<1%
保拉·法爾康
$845 交易量
<1%
維尼修斯·貝內維德斯
$649 交易量
<1%
瓦吉尼奧
$707 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s two-seat Senate race, with Datafolha’s mid-September survey showing her at 18% combined intentions and 30% on first-choice votes. This underpins trader consensus favoring her over a crowded field where Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Monica Benicio (PSOL) remain statistically tied for second within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares—often exceeding 25%—plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names sustain volatility. September polling has shown modest gains for the PL pair without altering the overall ordering, leaving limited room for late shifts absent major alliance changes or turnout surges before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
交易量
$49,587結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s two-seat Senate race, with Datafolha’s mid-September survey showing her at 18% combined intentions and 30% on first-choice votes. This underpins trader consensus favoring her over a crowded field where Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Monica Benicio (PSOL) remain statistically tied for second within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares—often exceeding 25%—plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names sustain volatility. September polling has shown modest gains for the PL pair without altering the overall ordering, leaving limited room for late shifts absent major alliance changes or turnout surges before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$49,587結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETBenedita da Silva (PT) holds the clearest lead in recent polling for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s two-seat Senate race, with Datafolha’s mid-September survey showing her at 18% combined intentions and 30% on first-choice votes. This underpins trader consensus favoring her over a crowded field where Carlos Jordy and Carlos Portinho (both PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Monica Benicio (PSOL) remain statistically tied for second within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares—often exceeding 25%—plus the mechanics of voters selecting two names sustain volatility. September polling has shown modest gains for the PL pair without altering the overall ordering, leaving limited room for late shifts absent major alliance changes or turnout surges before October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions