In Montarville, a suburban Montreal riding on the South Shore, the Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Coalition avenir Québec MNA and National Assembly President Nathalie Roy and Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier, a longtime journalist. Recent 338Canada projections classify the seat as a toss-up, with PQ edging the popular vote projection at 37% to CAQ’s 33% after transposition to the new electoral map. A Segma poll released September 21 showed PQ leading CAQ by five points in the couronne sud overall, reflecting broader provincial momentum for the PQ in Montreal suburbs. Liberal candidate Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois trail significantly, while the race’s closeness stems from Roy’s incumbency and name recognition offset by shifting voter sentiment and Cloutier’s local profile. Further polling shifts or campaign events in the final weeks could widen the margin before ballots are cast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Jean-François Cloutier 49%
Nathalie Roy 48%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%
Jean-François Cloutier
49%
Nathalie Roy
47%
Mathieu Lavoie
1%
Ginette Langlois
1%
Jean-François Cloutier 49%
Nathalie Roy 48%
Mathieu Lavoie <1%
Ginette Langlois <1%
Jean-François Cloutier
49%
Nathalie Roy
47%
Mathieu Lavoie
1%
Ginette Langlois
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
In Montarville, a suburban Montreal riding on the South Shore, the Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Coalition avenir Québec MNA and National Assembly President Nathalie Roy and Parti Québécois candidate Jean-François Cloutier, a longtime journalist. Recent 338Canada projections classify the seat as a toss-up, with PQ edging the popular vote projection at 37% to CAQ’s 33% after transposition to the new electoral map. A Segma poll released September 21 showed PQ leading CAQ by five points in the couronne sud overall, reflecting broader provincial momentum for the PQ in Montreal suburbs. Liberal candidate Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire’s Ginette Langlois trail significantly, while the race’s closeness stems from Roy’s incumbency and name recognition offset by shifting voter sentiment and Cloutier’s local profile. Further polling shifts or campaign events in the final weeks could widen the margin before ballots are cast.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions